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If there was any doubt that the new coronavirus is n’t just " a bad flu , " a unexampled paper lay that myth to rest . The survey authors regain that in the U.S. there were 20 times more deaths per hebdomad from COVID-19 than from the flu in the venomous week of an average flu season .
" Although functionary may say that SARS - CoV-2 [ the virus that have COVID-19 ] is ' just another grippe , ' this is not true , " the authors , from Harvard Medical School and Emory University
An image showing 35 coffins stored in a warehouse in Ponte San Pietro, near Bergamo, Lombardy, Italy, on 20 May 2025, prior to be transported to another region to be cremated during the COVID-19 pandemic.
School of Medicine , wrote in their paper , published today ( May 14 ) in the journalJAMA Internal Medicine .
Related : How does the new coronavirus liken with the flu ?
Ever since the new coronavirus was discovered in early January , people have compare it with the influenza , point out that influenza cause ten of M of deaths every year in the U.S. alone . Indeed , during the current flu time of year , theCenters for Disease Control and Prevention ( CDC)estimates that there were up to 62,000 influenza deaths in the U.S. from October 2019 through April 2020 .
At a glance , this may appear similar to the price of COVID-19 , which as of former May , had make about 65,000 U.S. deaths . ( As of Thursday , May 13 , the number of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. was more than 82,000 , concord toJohns Hopkins University . )
But this does n’t correspond what health care providers are seeing on the frontlines of thepandemic , particularly in hot zona ( such as New York City ) , " where ventilators have been in short supply and many hospital have been stretch beyond their limit , " the author order .
This compare is blemished because the CDC estimates of flu deaths are just that — estimation rather than raw numbers . The CDC does not know the exact number of mass who become mad with or die from the flu each year in the U.S. Rather , this number is judge based on data roll up on flu hospitalizations through surveillance in 13 commonwealth . On the other mitt , reported COVID-19 deaths are factual counts of people who go from COVID-19 , not estimates . In other words , comparing estimate of influenza Death with raw numeration of COVID-19 deaths is like comparing " apples to oranges , " the authors say .
So for the new bailiwick , the research worker looked at actual counts of influenza expiry per week , and compared those with count of COVID-19 deaths .
tie in : Coronavirus in the US : Latest COVID-19 news and case counts
base on data from end certificates , during the deadliest week of flu time of year over the last several eld , the counted phone number of U.S. deaths due to flu ranged from 351 during the 2015 to 2016 flu season to 1,626 during the 2017 to 2018 flu season , the authors said . The average number of influenza death during the week of peak flu mortality rate in late seasons ( from 2013 to 2020 ) was 752 deaths .
In line , for COVID-19 , there were 15,455 deaths report in the U.S. during the hebdomad terminate April 21 ( the mellow weekly death cost during the pandemic so far ) the authors said
That means that the number of COVID-19 deaths for the calendar week end April 21 was about 10- to 40 - fold high than the number of influenza deaths for the most lethal hebdomad of the past seven grippe season . That top COVID-19 weekly death numeration is about 20 times eminent than the medium weekly tiptop flu dying count , the authors enjoin .
The authors note that their analysis has some limitations , including that the routine of COVID-19 deaths may be undercounted because of limitations with examination for SARS - CoV-2 and false - minus test solution . In addition , the authors head out that grownup flu death are not required to be reported to public health authorities in the room that COVID-19 destruction are , potentially undercounting influenza deaths as well .
Still , " our analysis suggests that equivalence between SARS - CoV-2 deathrate and seasonal flu death rate must be made using an apple - to - apples comparability , not an apples - to - oranges equivalence , " the authors reason . " Doing so well demonstrates the truthful threat to public health from COVID-19 . "
Originally publish onLive skill .
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